Friday Fun: Emmy Award Predictions!

Over the past few years, the Emmy Awards have become my Oscars. I'm far more invested in TV shows than I am with movies these days. 

This year's Emmys feature some really exciting nominations (among a few glaring omissions). I thought it'd be fun to put together a predictions list. I'm going for a mix of who I'm personally rooting for along with who I think will win. 

The awards will be hosted by Andy Samberg of SNL and Brooklyn Nine Nine fame, and most importantly, from my favorite Big Dumb Comedy of the last decade Hot Rod!


The Emmys air this Sunday night 9/20 on FOX. I'll be tweeting using  the #Emmys tag on twitter.

OK, let's do this:

Outstanding Comedy Series

Louie
Modern Family
Parks and Recreation
Silicon Valley
Transparent
Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt
Veep

My vote: Parks & Recreation. It was one of my favorites. The whole cast is so good, I'd have a new favorite every week. 

Who I think will win: Veep. Someone has to upset Modern Family after all these years! I'm betting on Veep given all its other nominations. And though critically praised, have enough people seen the Amazon streaming series Transparent? 

Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series

Lily Tomlin, Grace and Frankie
Amy Schumer, Inside Amy Schumer
Edie Falco, Nurse Jackie
Amy Poehler, Parks and Recreation
Lisa Kudrow, The Comeback
Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Veep

My vote: Amy Poehler! I don't see Parks & Rec getting best comedy series, so I'm rooting for her all the way here. 

Who I think will win: Will it be Old(er) Amy (Poehler) or new Amy (Shumer?) OR could queen Julia Louis-Dreyfus take it all? The force is strong with this group.

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series

Anthony Anderson, Black-ish
Matt LeBlanc, Episodes
Don Cheadle, House of Lies
Louis C.K., Louie
William H. Macy, Shameless
Will Forte, The Last Man on Earth
Jeffrey Tambor, Transparent

My vote: Louis C.K. Admittedly, I've only regularly watched The Last Man on Earth. I loved Will Forte on SNL, but I'm back-and-forth on his Fox show. I would give this to Louie because he's so central to his own show, and his take on humor is unlike anything else (IMO) going on in TV right now. 

Who I think will win: Jeffrey Tambor, Transparent 

Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series

Niecy Nash, Getting On
Julie Bowen, Modern Family
Allison Janney, Mom
Kate McKinnon, Saturday Night Live
Mayim Bialik, The Big Bang Theory
Gaby Hoffman, Transparent
Jane Krakowski, Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt
Anna Chlumsky, Veep

My vote: Kate McKinnon is my favorite on SNL currently, but she's an underdog here.  

Who I think will win: Allison Janney. She's funny, consistent, and on a well-received network show.

Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Comedy

Andre Braugher, Brooklyn Nine-Nine
Adam Driver, Girls
Keegan-Michael Key, Key & Peele
Ty Burrell, Modern Family
Titus Burgess, Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt
Tony Hale, Veep

My vote: Keegan-Michael Key deserves this. Key & Peele is such a hilarious, on-point sketch show. If he doesn't get this, I would root for Andre Braugher on Brooklyn.

Who I think will win: Tony Hale or Ty Burrell have previous nominations. Modern Family doesn't have the buzz it once did, so I think Tony Hale will win. Key, though. Key needs to win. 

Outstanding Drama Series

Better Call Saul
Downton Abbey
Game of Thrones
Homeland
House of Cards
Mad Men
Orange Is the New Black

My vote: Mad Men. The overall series itself deserves the win. (Though not-so-secretly would love a Better Call Saul upset!)

Who I think will win: Mad Men. With a close call by Game of Thrones (I never pick one, did you notice??)

Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series

Claire Danes, Homeland
Viola Davis, How to Get Away with Murder
Taraji P. Henson, Empire
Tatiana Maslany,Orphan Black
Elisabeth Moss, Mad Men
Robin Wright, House of Cards

My vote: Let's take a moment to appreciate this list. Every single actor here is good, Viola Davis is good in everything, but her current show is sort of ridiculous. Claire is fascinating, but Homeland is depressing. Taraji was great on Person of Interest and she makes Empire. Tatiana is PHENOMENAL at playing different clones of main character. And Elisabeth Moss was the corner we could latch onto in Mad Men with the reasonable and often-trampled upon Peggy Olson. Any of them win, I am cool with that outcome. I vote we give each of them an Emmy! Ok, do I really have to choose? I'm so torn. Agh! OK. Tatiana Maslany TIED with Elisabeth Moss. 

Who I think will win: Viola Davis or a Mad Men legacy win for Elisabeth Moss. Don't count out Taraji Henson.

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series

Kyle Chandler, Bloodline
Jeff Daniels, The Newsroom
Jon Hamm, Mad Men
Bob Odenkirk, Better Call Saul
Liev Schrieber, Ray Donovon
Kevin Spacey, House of Cards

My vote: Jon Hamm. Though my heart says Bob Odenkirk because Better Call Saul is as good as Breaking Bad but in different way, he's got time ahead, while Jon Hamm hasn't won yet for Mad Men.  

Who I think will win: Jon Hamm because Don Draper became a cultural icon. 

Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama Series

Joan and her iconic pen necklace

Joanne Froggatt, Downton Abbey
Lena Headey, Game of Thrones
Emilia Clarke, Game of Thrones
Christina Hendricks, Mad Men
Uzo Aduba, Orange Is the New Black
Christine Baranski, The Good Wife

My vote: Christina Hendricks because Joan is also a cultural icon thanks to Mad Men. 

Who I think will win: I can see Lena Headey taking this due to her very dramatic walk of shame scene last season on GoT.

Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series

Jonathan Banks, Better Call Saul
Ben Mendelsohn, Bloodline
Jim Carter, Downton Abbey
Peter Dinklage, Game of Thrones
Michael Kelly, House of Cards
Alan Cumming, The Good Wife

My vote: Jonathan Banks for Breaking Bad recognition and Saul. 

Who I think will win: I could see Alan Cumming winning since The Good Wife has a long-standing following. Peter Dinklage could edge out a win though since he's so beloved on GoT.

Outstanding Limited Series

American Crime
American Horror Story: Freak Show
The Honorable Woman
Olive Kitteridge
Wolf Hall

My vote: Wolf Hall

Who I think will win: Wolf Hall

Outstanding Lead Actress in a Limited Series or Movie

Felicity Huffman, American Crime
Jessica Lange, American Horror Story: Freak Show
Queen Latifah, Bessie
Frances McDormand, Olive Kitteridge
Emma Thompson, Mrs. Lovett
Maggie Gyllenhaal, The Honorable Woman

My vote: I didn't watch any of these. 

Who I think will win: I'm going with Frances McDormand or Felicity Huffman due to their previous accolades. 

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Limited Series or a Movie

Timothy Hutton, American Crime
Ricky Gervais, Derek Special
Adrien Brody, Houdini
David Oyelowo, Nightingale
Richard Jenkins, Olive Kitteridge
Mark Rylance, Wolf Hall

My vote: I didn't watch any of these (sadly, Wolf Hall deleted during the second great DVR crisis of 2015). 

Who I think will win: Give this to David Oyelowo for his Oscar snub this year in Selma!

Outstanding Reality Show Competition

The Amazing Race
Dancing with the Stars
Project Runway
So You Think You Can Dance
Top Chef
The Voice

My vote: I love Project Runway, but over the years it's become more of a commercial and gameshow than about real fashion. Top Chef also suffers from sponsor gimmick overload.I like The Voice, but overall So You Think You Can Dance is the most inspiring and still fresh with talent. 

Who I think will win: The Voice

Outstanding Reality Show Host

Tom Bergeron, Dancing with the Stars
Jane Lynch, Hollywood Game Night
Heidi Klum and Tim Gunn, Project Runway
Cat Deeley, So You Think You Can Dance
Anthony Bourdain, The Taste

My vote: Cat Deeley! 

Who I think will win: Jane Lynch has a strong chance because she's relatable and funny.  

Outstanding Variety, Music, or Comedy Series

The Colbert Report
The Daily Show
Jimmy Kimmel Live!
Last Week Tonight with John Oliver
Late Show with David Letterman
The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon

My vote: The Colbert Report 

Who I think will win: All eyes on this category! With Colbert, Daily Show, and Letterman ending this year, all three are contenders. Oh, and John Oliver who (IMO) was the best fit to take over The Daily Show had they jumped on that sooner. Given Colbert took over for Letterman, he has more opportunities ahead. I think this leaves a legacy win for either Jon Stewart or David Letterman. In the end, going with Jon Stewart. 

Outstanding Variety Sketch Series

Drunk History
Inside Amy Schumer
Key & Peele
Portlandia
Saturday Night Live

My vote: Key & Peele. Especially if Key doesn't win himself; the show overall deserves this for being so consistently funny, and managing cultural commentary that was spot on whether it's about racial profiling or the petty and selfie-obsessed. Also: Terries gettin' froggy.

Who I think will win: I'd be cool with any of these but SNL winning. SNL is just too uneven and often doesn't know how to showcase their best talent. Everything else on this list is doing something unique and different. Overall though, Key & Peele better get this.  

Outstanding Writing for a Drama Series

Joshua Brand, The Americans, “Do Mail Robots Dream of Electric Sheep?”
Gordon Smith, Better Call Saul, “Five-O”
David Benioff and David Weiss, Game of Thrones, “Mother’s Mercy”
Matthew Weiner, Mad Men, “Lost Horizon”
Matthew Weiner, Mad Men, “Person to Person”

My vote: Mad Men, Person to Person 

Who I think will win: Mad Men, Person to Person

Outstanding Directing for a Drama Series

Tim Van Patten, Boardwalk Empire, “Eldorado”
David Nutter, Game of Thrones, “Mother’s Mercy”
Jeremy Podeswa, Game of Thrones, “Unbowed, Unbent, Unbroken”
Lesli Linka Glatter, Homeland, “From A to B and Back Again”
Steven Soderbergh, The Knick, “Method and Madness”

My vote: I'm a TV nerd going back a ways. David Nutter is an X-Files longtimer. At the same time, I didn't 100% love that GoT episode, though I can appreciate the challenges in directing with such a huge cast and a naked lady getting poo thrown at her (yes, really). 

Who I think will win: David Nutter, Mother's Mercy, Game of Thrones

That about covers it! Many other categories have already received trophies during the Creative Arts Emmys. 

How about you? Will you be watching? Who are your favorites?